Public data · Updated monthly

What PRISM actually says — the verdict distribution.

Every verdict PRISM issues is logged. Once a month, we publish the aggregate breakdown: how many GO, KILL, PIVOT, CGO, DEFER verdicts — and the lenses that triggered each outcome. No names. No company details. Just the data.

Last updated: June 2026  ·  n=22 PRISM verdicts  ·  Errata policy

Verdict breakdown

June 2026 — 22 verdicts

Aggregate counts across all PRISM tiers (Pulse, Pro, Ultra) for the reporting month.

KILL
0
13 of 22 verdicts

Idea has a fatal flaw that cannot be pivoted around. Market doesn’t exist, unit economics are irreparably negative, or competition has already won.

PIVOT
0
4 of 22 verdicts

Core insight is valid but execution path fails one or more lenses. A significant change to ICP, channel, or business model is required before proceeding.

DEFER
0
2 of 22 verdicts

Idea is sound but market conditions, regulation, or timing make launch premature. Specific triggers defined for when to reassess.

CGO
0
2 of 22 verdicts

Proceed only after resolving named conditions. Conditions are specific, measurable, and time-bound — not aspirational.

GO
0
1 of 22 verdicts

All 12 lenses pass. Market validated. Unit economics viable. Distribution path identifiable. Team execution fit confirmed. Proceed.

Top failure lenses

Where ideas break down

Percentage of KILL and PIVOT verdicts where each lens was a primary or contributing failure trigger. A single verdict may fire multiple lenses.

Market sizing
82%
Competitive moat
73%
Unit economics
68%
Team execution fit
59%
Regulatory / legal risk
41%
Distribution channel
36%

* % of KILL + PIVOT verdicts (n=17) where lens was flagged as primary or contributing failure. One verdict may trigger multiple lenses. Percentages do not sum to 100%.

Sector breakdown

Ideas submitted by category

Sector distribution of submitted briefs in the reporting month. No winner/loser skew applied — all submitted sectors included.

Fintech 5
Climate / Sustainability 3
Health / Wellness 3
Enterprise SaaS 3
Consumer Marketplace 3
EdTech 2
Other 3

Why we publish this

Accountability is not a marketing claim

No-spin commitment

Publishing verdict counts is the simplest possible check on ourselves. If 95% of verdicts were GO, you’d know we were telling founders what they wanted to hear. The actual distribution — dominated by KILL — tells you the methodology is working as designed. We don’t adjust the data to look more encouraging.

Transparency over reputation management

Every company in this space has an incentive to hide its error rate. We choose the opposite. Failure lenses are published because founders considering PRISM deserve to know what the methodology surfaces — not just that we exist. If we get a verdict wrong, we issue a correction on the errata page and update this data accordingly.

Errata policy and correction log

If a published verdict contained a factual error — a miscited source, a miscalculated score, a misidentified competitor — we correct it publicly and note the correction here. The correction log lives on the errata page. The analyst accountable for every verdict is named on the analyst page. There is no anonymous sign-off at ThriveFinity.

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